Until we discover a means to traverse those seemingly insurmountable light-years between stars, we will be very much alone in our universe, but I contend that we are certainly not the first intelligence to emerge.
Yes people tend to think that their position in life may shield them from that probability
Do we follow history or do we make history? This is my point of view.
In testing the evidence by its source, the ordinary fact witnesses should be tested as well as the sources of expert evidence.
There is little doubt that the universe is so unimaginably vast, that many other intelligent races of extraterrestrials must exist, but are we ever likely to see them in the flesh?
This article explains about how to calculate probability with multiple dice. It gives all possible outcomes for two dice.